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Around
the Desk
Lots of
News Around the Desk This Week… The Amaranth
and Energy Transfer Partners announcements kept us all busy
this week, but there were a couple other bits worth noting…Energy
stocks took it on the chin again this week as the Dow cratered
around 400 points on Thursday, the second-worst trading day
of the year...
Emissions
Desk
Businesses are catching on about the upside of climate
change, both in terms of new products and opportunities,
but they’re a bit vague on the details when it comes
to downside risks.
Desk
Chiefs
The one-two punch
from FERC and the CFTC against Amaranth, Brian Hunter and
very likely some of his former merry men this week was big,
big news. But the details once they became better known, were
a bit, well, odd...
Gas
Storage Box Scores & Market Buzz
Another
Week, Another Revision, Er, Reclassification. A revision
by any other name, eh? In three weeks, 17 Bcf of changes to
the weekly tallies. It’s a significant number by any
standard. This week, unlike last time, the reclassification
of base-to-working gas made just about everybody come off
looking like a genius storage forecaster...
CFTC
Lands a Big Fish
More Details
on the Taking of Amaranth
Wednesday was an altogether good day for Greg Mocek, the CFTC’s
venerable enforcement chief. After a yearlong investigation
into multiple counts of alleged mischief on the part of defunct
hedge fund Amaranth Advisors and its principle gas trading
wizard, Brian Hunter, it all came together this week as charges...
The
Desk Energy Curves
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Stats & Intel
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Described by an energy
company CEO as somewhere between the Economist and People Magazine,"
The Desk provides insider market intelligence and original analysis
and commentary of the ever-changing competitive energy sector --
emphasis on the traded power and gas space.
Jim
Newsome, the former CFTC chief who now heads NYMEX, seems to think
the CFTC’s charges against Amaranth and Brian Hunter was a
good hit indeed for the commission, despite what some market observers
have suggested. He’s quick to remind us that “this isn’t
exactly over” because “(CFTC enforcement chief) Greg
Mocek mentioned on a couple occasions during a press conference
that the ‘discovery process’ was still open.”
Newsome says the CFTC “can add to the current charges when
it deems necessary. It could, for example, can change it from ‘attempted
manipulation’ to ‘manipulated’ or add completely
new charges.”
Or could the DoJ pick up the ball and indict them?
“Sure could,” he tells The Desk.
Newsome admits that he’s unaware of the extent of Justice
Dept. involvement, or how much cooperation between agencies has
occurred. But he does say that if you’re trying to bring criminal
charges against someone, the bar is a heck of a lot higher to meet.
“If they (DoJ) are looking at it, it would certainly take
them longer to bring their case forward, compared to the CFTC.”
In all, Newsome says this was a good hit for the commission, and
for that matter, for the monitoring/investigation folks at NYMEX.
“I think it’s a good solid hit. (But) I think some people
will try to make this as political as possible…”
You don’t read it that way?
“Not at all,” he says.
“Our investigation, which we turned over to the CFTC, happened
well before this became a political question.”
It was our impression, at the Mocek press conference this week,
that quite a few questions from reporters seemed to point to lapses
in control at NYMEX that allowed Amaranth to do what it has been
accused of doing. Alternatively, little was said about any sort
of “lack of transparency” on the ICE, which has become
this Summer’s favorite political football among energy committees
in both houses of Congress.
Newsome begged to differ. Strongly.
“I don’t see it that way. You have market participants
trading all the time, and they’re going to do what they’re
going to do. In this case, and many others, we recognized that something
wasn’t quite right. We were uncomfortable with what we saw
(Amaranth’s trading strategy) and we stopped it. We contacted
Amaranth, started our investigation and made the CFTC aware of it.
Then they took over the investigation, which is their right to do,”
Newsome tells The Desk.
On the related matter of market transparency, he says the point
he was trying to make on the Hill recently is that what we have
here is not an example of a failure, but a success. “Were
this to have happened on ICE, nobody ever would have seen it. They
would have had no idea if this or anything else was going on,”
he says.
“I think some people are missing the point here. The point
is, as an SRO, we saw it and took appropriate steps to correct it…
On ICE, the regulators did not have the ability to see, nor did
ICE have the responsibility or authority to do anything about it,”
he says.